Sunday, March 13, 2011

Economic Review by PMEAC


Please find below highlights of review of economy 2011 by PMEAC lead by C Rangarajan

  • Economy expected to grow at 8.6 per cent in 2010-11 and 9.0 % in 2011-12
  • Agriculture expected to grow at 5.4% in 2010-11 and 3.0% in 2011-12
  • Industry expected to grow at 8.1% in 2010-11 and 9.2% in 2011-12.
  • Services expected to grow at 9.6% in 2010-11 and 10.3% in 2011-12.
  • Slow recovery in global economic and financial situation.
  • Rising domestic savings and investment chief engines of growth

  • Investment rate expected to be 37.0% in 2010-11 and 37.5% in 2011-12.
  • Domestic savings rate expected to be over 34% in 2010-11 and 34.7% in 2011-12.
  • Current Account deficit estimated at 3.0% of GDP in 2010-11 and 2.8% of GDP in 2011-12
  • Merchandise trade deficit 7.7% of the GDP in 2010-11 and 2011-12
  • Invisibles trade surplus projected to be $ 81.3 billion or 4.8% of the GDP in 2010-11 and $95.7 billion or 4.8% in 2011-12.
  • Capital Flows can be readily absorbed by financing needs of the high growth of the Indian Economy.
  • Against the level of $47.8 billion in 2009-10, the capital inflows projected to be $ 64.6 billion for 2010-11 and $76.0 billion for 2011-12.
  • Against accretion to reserves of $13.4 billion in 2009-10, projected to be $12.1 billion in 2010-11 and $20.2 billion in 2011-12.
  • Inflation rate projected at 7.0 % by March 2011
  • The declining trend in food prices particularly that of the vegetables will result in lower food inflation.
  • Manufactured goods inflation has remained low. Considerable care from the policy side has however to be taken to ensure that the manufactured goods inflation remains below 5 per cent in 2011/12.
  • Monetary Policy to complete the process of exit and operate with bias toward tightening.
  • Liquidity conditions are taut enough for monetary policy signals to be appropriately transmitted to the financial sector
  • Monetary and fiscal policies have to be appropriately tight to protect the economy from inflation.
  • Monetary policy has an important role to play even in situations where inflation is triggered by supply constraints.
  • Current year fiscal adjustment may not be a problem, the challenge is of adhering to the Finance Commission’s targets with credible expenditure management.
  • Total Central revenues registering an increase of 62.9 per cent in (April –Dec) 2010-11 over the corresponding period last year.
  • Capital Expenditure registered a sharp increase of 64.6 per cent (April –Dec) in 2010-11.
  • Fiscal deficit outcome for 2010-11 could be marginally better than the budget estimates.
  • The consolidated fiscal deficit is likely to be 7.5 to 8 per cent of GDP for 2010-11.
  • There is considerable urgency in the implementation of goods and services tax (GST).
  • Budgeted level of Fiscal Deficit and Revenue Deficit still beyond comfort zone.
  • To sustain a growth rate of 9.0 per cent, steps required are:
  • Containing inflation by focusing both on monetary and fiscal policies and supply side management.
  • The pace of infrastructure creation has to be stepped up with renewed focus on the power sector
  • Continue efforts to contain Current Account Deficit (CAD) at 2-2.5 per cent of GDP and in parallel encourage flow of external investments into the country.
  • Greater attention to agriculture including on seed development, management of water and soil fertility and improving delivery system

Integrated Policy

23rd Feb,Hindu

Please find below reasons for an integrated resources policy

  • Central government has setup a committee under Ashok chawla to look into pricing, allocation and utilisation of India’s natural resources

REASONS FOR AN INTEGRATED POLICY

  • Rising global prices, require government to re look into pricing of its scarce natural resources
  • The resources are exhaustible. Using now means, reducing resources for future generations. Hence there is a need for an inter generational fund to support the future generation
  • There is a need for resource federalism
  • Resource rich states should get their due share
  • There is a need for more decentralsation

India's IT Law

This article discusses the flaws in India’s IT laws and the new measures being taken by government

  • Present IT law completely ignores the cyber crime and warfare
  • The new draft IT rules tries to bring these under law
  • Internet service providers are usually treated like a telecom provider ie the ISP is not responsible for any sort of information provided through its services
  • But with the 2008 amendment in IT act , it stipulated that ISPs need to observe due diligence while discharging their duties
  • The new act lists out rules regarding the due diligence


FLAWS

  • It covers only identity theft and phishing
  • It doesn’t cover attacks like keylogger and BOTNETS
  • o A BOTNET is a computer being remotely controlled by a cyber attacker

CYBER SECURITY INCIDENT

  • It is a real or adverse event in relation to cyber security that violates an applicable security policy, resulting in unauthorized access, denial of service etc
  • However it neglects the concepts of modern warfare
  • The new rules require service providers to provide information to government agencies which are lawlfully authorized for investigative, protective or intelligence activity

Black Money Solution


Black money is the hot topic these days. This article clearly shows that it is a problem that can very much be nipped in the bud provided our politicians have the will to do it

  • The global financial integrity report, german banks declaration of assets of certain indians has unleashed a public outrage against black money
  • The government has responded by setting up committees , group of ministers, signing up treaties with government for sharing of information

WAY AHEAD

  • It is not because of secrecy laws that we are unable to trace the black money stashed abroad
  • It is because of lack of political will
  • For example, government claims that swiss banks would disclose information only when criminality is established
  • But the same swiss banks blocked Hosini mubarak’s account without verifying any criminality, it also shared information of accounts of over 1000 people with US
  • The problem of black money will not end by moves like commissions, treaties, voluntary disclosure etc
  • Infact CAG report on 1997 voluntary disclosure scheme show that most of them who disclosed were habitual offenders
  • Today we have a formal democracy with weak content
  • We need to undertake serious investigation and prosecute the guilty
  • Government needs to make use of intelligence agencies in sourcing information
  • But all this requires a political will which is scarce in indian politics
  • Committees setup on black money(the list is not exhaustive)
  • Vohra
  • wangchoo

Real Vs Nominal GDP

This article brings out a very interesting topic, which is explained below

  • Fiscal deficit at 5.1%
  • The fall in deficit is mainly because of inflation
  • Fiscal deficit is calculated as percentage of nominal GDP ie GDP at market prices
  • But if we take fiscal deficit as % of real GDP or GDP at factor cost then it comes upto to 5.8%
  • WHAT IS Real GDP and Nominal GDP?
  • Suppose a country only produces bread.In the year 2000 it had produced 100 units of bread, price was Rs 10 per bread.GDP at current price was Rs 1,000. In 2001 the same country produced110 units of bread at price Rs 15 per bread. Therefore nominal GDP in 2001was Rs 1,650 (=110 × Rs 15). Real GDP in 2001 calculated at the price of the year 2000 (2000 will be called the base year) will be 110 × Rs 10 = Rs 1,100.
  • Hence Nominal GDP doesn’t truly reflect the increase in production capacity of an economy
  • Note: GDP growth is in terms of % of real GDP
  • Ratio of nominal to real GDP gives the GDP deflator
  • Capital formation in agri sector has stagnated since 2005-06 at 7.5% of total capital formation in economy
  • There has been a decline in direct tax collections and an increase in indirect tax collections
  • Excise revenue to GDP has reduced from 3% in 2005-06 to 1.7%
  • Customs to GDP has reduced from 1.8 to 1.5% in same period

Libya


Please find below important information about Libya . Also included are key points from Foreign sec

  • Libya became free from Italian colonial rule in 1951
  • King Idris of senussi tribe(of east libya knowna s cyrenaica) ruled it from 1951 to 1969
  • Quaddhafi supported by quaddhafi, magraha and warfalla tribes overthrew King idris in 1969
  • Since then the easterners have been opressed
  • Presently Warfalla is supporting the rebels while the other two are still loyal to quaddhafi
  • 75% of oil reserves are in east

Foreign sec Interview

  • The initial draft proposed by western nations proposed sanctions along with force
  • But russia, India and China forced it to levy sanction under article 41 i.e. partial sanctions without force


Monday, February 21, 2011

HERITAGE TOURISM

HERITAGE SPECIAL
PAST’S FUTURE
HERITAGE TOURISM LANGUISHES AT THE BOTTOM OF GOVT’S TO-DO LIST Tourism has the potential to bring big bucks, but to harness it the government must take infrastructure development on a war footing to heritage and tourism sites INDIA now reigns on the world’s horizon as a mock-socialist, feudo-anarchic, dynasto-oligarchic democracy. It is a country of many hangovers, with a huge bitter-taste of history in its mouth. The sweeter memories lie far back in a mythical Ram Rajya or in the ‘golden bird’, which India was called in the Gupta Age. Though its civilisation runs without the breaks that Egypt, Mesopotamia, the Greeks and Romans suffered – or even the forced watersheds/floods that Russia and China imposed upon their histories in revolution – ours is a frayed continuity. To whatever state we have brought the dream of our free nation, the citizen still remains suspect and unempowered in the field of heritage. We cannot share or let blossom our vision for India, unencumbered by myopic government and bureaucratic obstacles. The bitter taste of history and its ruins could well be sugar for the finance minister and for our economy if the ministers of tourism could be held in the same respect and awe. Tourism can still bring in all the bucks if government takes infrastructure development on a war footing – to all the heritage and tourism sites at least. In such a society where individuals remain suspect, who can heritage ‘belong’ to, but the State? The tragedy, however, is that the State itself is run by individuals who imagine themselves superior and ‘We petty men do peep about [their] legs to find ourselves dishonorable graves’ as Cassius had instigated Brutus against Julius Caesar. Then where can the future of heritage be, but between talking in seminar rooms, planning on paper, coffee cups and cigarettes? And TS Elliot may have moaned: ‘On their posts the men they come and go, talking with much bravado’. But who will take the responsibility for continuity and concerted action if ministers move from culture to coal, or from tourism to food and all secretaries who come to heritage-related posts first set about to ‘see’ and ‘understand’ the complex Indian sub-continent before they can act? And their tenures melt away in sight seeing more than in doing. The seriousness of the current tragedy of bad policies and baffling red tape has literally made India’s citizens disinherit their heritage. The governments too touch heritage as a low priority. This barrier must be removed both psychologically and physically. Motivated Indian citizens should be encouraged to create awareness through unofficial local bodies or at best under an official national body whose only useful job could be the pulling out government stops and obstacles. Only then can private citizens lobby to save our built heritage. Since enough practical expertise of this ‘Neemranification’ is available in the country – to turn our liabilities of the past into viable, self-sustaining entities in the future – local fund-raising is only possible by instilling regional pride in these structures through historical consciousness and participation. At the National Convention of the IIID (Indian Institute of Interior Designers) held last week in Jaipur, the 24 regional chapters resolved to take this private process ahead. It is important that since the government has not managed to suitably address the widening of its priorities beyond food, shelter, employment etc to saving the past, despite 62 years of our independence, it should finally accept this shortcoming. It should seriously empower qualified bodies and individuals to ACT rather than only dream. Time is the essence in architectural preservation. Once a building falls, the rubble that it leaves can only pile on shame. The spread of heritage tourism could bring impressive benefits to India. All the statistics demonstrate this. If France, which is a little larger than Rajasthan, can get 75 million foreign tourists and Rajasthan gets only 1.28 million, the blame game can start immediately. Tourism has remained a last priority in development; it is not politically ‘profitable’ as it doesn’t draw the votes. It is seen as a rich man’s game forgetting its vast percolating effect down to the craftspersons and performers, the masons and stonecarvers, as well as the rural families of the local staff and suppliers who are not dislocated to urban slums, and so on. Every book, catalogue and article on Rajasthan begins by calling it the ‘land of the Rajas’, but governments have benefited by disrobing and demeaning the inheritors and these upholders of culture tradition—the problem begins there. It is a deep and continuing attitudinal problem. A Rajasthan tourism minister once said, “We fought the war of Independence against the rajas, forgetting the British. But sadly, the feudal structure and subservient psyche of the people has successfully been siphoned away to the politician’s durbar!” Besides the countless permissions that heritage tourism needs from each government in each state, the penalties to the private sector are applied with a vengeance while the government, when at large, still remains largely unanswerable and above penalties. The PPP is a new way to pass the buck to the private sector, without any government onus and can be better described as the Private Person’s Problem. It is certainly not a Public Private Partnership, as it was originally intended, where the two stand as equals. Hangover from colonial era THE government of India and of the states with their condescending attitude in dealing with citizens—a hangover from the colonial times—also continue to dominate rather to partner them in progress. This finally creates a series of impossible and mind-boggling obstacles. It comes close to a democratic version of the times of the Borgias: “In Italy, for thirty years under the Borgias, they had warfare, terror, murder, bloodshed but they produced Michealangelo, Leonardo de Vince and Renaissance. In Switzerland, they had brotherly love. Five hundred years of democracy and peace, and what did they produce? The Cuckoo Clock.” — Orson Wells. Maybe, on this count, our governments can be commended for the many false challenges they create, for this does make for a survival of the fittest/wickedest, and the perversely resistant Indian creativity emerges as the genetically unique survivor!

Friday, February 11, 2011

Mass tree deaths in Amazon


Please find below details about the impact of global warming on amazon forests

  • Forests are carbon sinks
  • Amazon forests absorb about a quarter of world’s carbon
  • But the depleting forest cover due to drought and deforestation has pushed it to the tipping point, where it will become a carbon source
  • This will cause a rapid climate change
  • The use of satellite imagery by brazil to monitor amazon forests has helped put a check on deforestation

THE 2010 drought

  • The 2005 drought was considered by many as a one in century phenomenon
  • But 2010 drought was much more severe
  • Several states announced emergencies
  • Rio negro reached its lowest levels

§ It is the largest left tributary of the Amazon and the largest black water river in the world

  • Billions of trees died leading to lesser carbon absorption
  • 8.5 bn tonnes of carbon dioxide was released

GLOBAL WARMING

  • Global warming is going to cause more frequent droughts in future
  • The growing warmth of atlantic sea is the main driving factor

Climate tipping points

  • Arctic Icecap
  • It has high albedo i.e it relfects most of sunlight back into atmosphere thus keeping the underneath ocean cold
  • If it melts, the ocean will be exposed to heat leading to more melting
  • Tundra
  • It is warming at a rapid apce
  • This may melt the permafrost which has trapped within it vast amount of carbon
  • Also there are bacterias that feed on frozen soil and generate methane
  • Hence its melting will lead to emission of carbon dioxide and methane in large amounts
  • Gas hydrates
  • Huge reserves of methane remain frozen on or just below ocean floor
  • These methane water crystals are highly unstable as they are close to their melting points
  • Any small rise in temperature could trigger huge release of methane
  • West antarctic ice sheet
  • Much of it is below sea level
  • It is vulnerable even to small amounts of warming
  • When it melts completely, sea level will rise by 6 meters

Thursday, February 10, 2011

Engaging India’s far east

Engaging India’s far east
  • Far east for India comprises of island nations in pacific beyond japan
  • India should engage more closely with these nations if it seeks to become a global power

WHY SHOULD WE ENGAGE?

  • Any small increase in investments in these regions can yield rich dividends
  • Also India’s increased presence in pacific will help counterbalance China ‘s presence in indian ocean


HOW TO ENGAGE?

  • To start off, indian scholars should undertake study of region to ascertain the challenges faced by the pacific island nations
  • We have had historic ties with Fiji
  • Fiji hosts the pacific islands forum(PIF)
  • Pacific island forum is a group of 16 independent self governing nations in pacific
  • Some of them are
  • Fiji(now suspended):because of military rule
  • Papua new guinea
  • Kiribati
  • Nauru
  • Marshall islands
  • Samoa
  • India has its embassies at Fiji and papua new guinea


CHALLENGES FACED BY FAR EAST

  • Connectivity i.e. transport and communication
  • Climate change
  • Power supply
  • Maritime security
  • Human resource development

TRIVIA

  • Marshall island : US conducted atomic tests here between 1946-62 and it still faces after affects of the radio activity
  • Cooks islands: it is a self governing territory and functions in association with New zealand
  • New zealand per capita is 29000 $ while that of samoa is 2800 $

WAY AHEAD

  • Since the nations are disconnected from mainland, only source of energy is wind and solar
  • India can help in this by providing aid and help in developing the renewable energy sector in region
  • Most of the nations are in the process of development
  • India can lend its development experience to the region
  • Development of small industry, IT etc can help reduce the marginalisation of these island nations
  • India’s IT industries can help in development of the region

Child Labour And Education In India


Children in every society have always participated in economic activities; children assist their families at home, in farms, in shops, etc. All work is not bad for children. Some activities do make a positive contribution to their development, prepares them for their future tasks and helps to pass traditional skills from one generation to another. So there is a difference between ‘child work ‘and ‘child labour’. The former comes into category of permissible work while later comes under exploitative. As committee on child labour observed that, “Labour becomes an absolute evil in the case of child when he is required to work beyond his physical capacity, when heaves of employment interferes with the education, recreation and rest, when his wages are not proportionate with the quantum of work done, and when the occupation in which he is engaged endangers his health and safety”. Still, it is not easy to draw a sharp line between destructive and beneficial child labour. Much of the child labour falls into a grey area in these two extremes.

Child labour is widespread and bad for the development of both that of individual child and society and economy in which he or she lives. If allowed to persist to the current extent, child labour will prevent the achievement of goals of extermination of poverty and achieving Education for All. Nearly all of the world’s government have ratified International Human Rights Convention. It is very essential to fulfil these commitments in order to boost development. Motivation and ability of infrastructure rather than poverty are the key factors.

Over 200 million children between 5 and 14 years of age are working worldwide. This population determines the one fifth of total population of girls and boys in this age group. About 3 million are engaged in what has been termed as “ hazardous work” which refers to forms of labour which are likely to have adverse effects on child’s safety, health and moral development nearly 10 million children are engaged in some form of slave labour, armed conflict prostitution or pornography, or other illicit activities. About one third of this total 250 million of child labour is in India (UNICEF report 1997)

India has the largest number of working children. After India then come Tanzania, Mozambique and Thailand. The World Bank report in Jan 2000 has revealed that there are 6 crore working children in India, which is the largest in terms of any country in the world. More then 50% child workers in India are concentrated in the five states – Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan, Bihar and Madhya Pradesh. Almost 80 % are engaged in agriculture sector.

Child Labour is significant, complex and multidimensional issue. Studies have concluded that eliminating child labour and putting children into education would have huge aggregate development benefits. Gains would be primarily through the added productive capacity of future generation that had the benefit of education as opposed to having worked as children. A number of policy initiatives and programmes to combat child labour have been undertaken at international and national level.

In relation with the child labour and education number of initiatives have been taken at international level:

  • In 1948, Universal Declaration on Human Rights : Right to Education ,
  • In 1966, International covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights : Compulsory and Free primary education ,
  • In 1973, International labour Organization Convention [ILO] 138: Minimum age of 15 was decided.
  • In 1989, Convention on the rights of Child : Freedom of association, primary education, rest and leisure, no hazardous child labour, protection from sexual exploitation and trafficking and
  • In 1999, ILO convention 182 : Worst form of Child labour : Banned Slavery, use in armed conflict, prostitution, drug trade; work harmful to health safety, morals

From the time of independence, India has committed itself to be against child labour. Article 24 of the Indian constitution clearly states that “ No child below the age of fourteen shall be employed to work in a factory, or mine, or on any hazardous employment Also Child labour Act,1986, prohibits the employment of children below 14 years of age.

There has been multiple entry points in dealing with child labour problems but the greatest progress has been in recognizing the link between eliminating child labour and guaranteeing “ “Education for all “. China, Brazil, Sri Lanka are the burning examples to show that in addition to poverty reduction, mass education has been critical in tackling child labour. For instance, drop our rates are very high in states of Bihar and Andhra Pradesh where there is high incidence of child labour. On the other hand dropout rate is the lowest in Kerala, which has the lowest incidence of child labour. UNICEF’s research proves that children who grow up without the basic education find it harder to sustain themselves and their families. UNICEF has called upon the nations to chalk out plans for providing free and compulsory education to all children by 2015.

Up till now the legislative apparatus was unlikely to yield results as legal action was the 1st step in the process. Finally on April 1st 2010, the historic “Right to Education” Act came into force. Thus, India became one of 135 countries to make education a fundamental right of every child. The new law establishes the right to education of every child aged 6 to 14, and addresses India’s need to provide more schools and teachers, and further develop training and curriculums. The crucial aspect, however, is the subsequent step in the process which involves constructive rehabilitation of the child withdrawn from work.

India has the second largest network of school system in the world. Yet, of the three tots enrolled in school in class one, two tend to leave school before reaching class three. The fact that only one out of three children is a girl partly explains why nearly two out of three women are able to read and write in India. Again the situation is still worst in rural areas. The division between rural and urban areas with respect to female level of literacy is quite sharp.

Evidences show that due to lack of awareness and education of parents also many students are sent to work because these illiterate parents who are unaware of the importance of education want their children to fire far themselves as early as possible much better if they become sources of income for their family. Thus, the fact that the lack of appreciation by parents of the role of the education in improving the life and the living condition, has contributed the prevalence of child labour. Therefore adult education and overall removal of illiteracy is also needed to cope up with this social evil. A school for every child as well as adult education programme are the need of present day.

If the socio-economic situation is considered then it depicts that large scale poverty has acted as an effective barrier to the success of the programme of the Universal Education in the country. It is because of the poverty the dropout rates have been reported very high. This is corroborated by a recent survey (The Public report on Basic Education –PROBE) in the four of the poorest and most child labour endemic states Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh. But in another comparative study of state of Kerala and Uttar Pradesh disregard the claim that it is predominantly poverty that prevents the poor from sending their children to school. In both states the proportion of people living below the poverty line is around 45%. Nevertheless Kerala has an average literacy rate of 90% whereas in Uttar Pradesh this figure is around 40%.

It is not therefore, to cite poverty and ignorance as the main cause for large scale dropouts. The increase in the dropout rates can be also due to the unattractiveness of the school and teaching process. The PROBE recorded startling data about the lack of basic amenities in many schools. As many as 52% did not have playgrounds, 89% did not have toilets and 59% did not have drinking facilities. Teacher Student Ratio (TSR) is also not satisfactory. About 1/3rd of primary schools have 1 teacher, of which only 53% are actually involved in teaching. Others are involved in none teaching activities or talking to each- other etc; and above all the poor quality of education which results in unemployment adds to dropout rates. This means proper education facilities, with good quality and result awaited education can give way to child labour eradication. India confirms that there is a keen interest among the poorest to send their children to school, nearly 100% enrol, but they drop out in massive numbers in the first year. Parents are willing and can be convinced to make the sacrifice of loosing relatively small contribution of their children to family income if they get access to good quality relevant education. Many scholars think child labour as a ‘default activity’ and has concluded that parents are keen to educate their children provided they are assured of basic quality. The poor in Kerala for example, where almost every child goes to school. The Kerala does however give direct scholarship to10% of the students to go to school of their choice and subsidizes transportation cost for all children.

While debates may rage about what kind of work constitute child labour or whether the system of mainstream education are meaningful or not, for vast majority there is no system of education is in place at all. Social mobilization without state support is meaningless. This has to accompany with affirmative action. The Right to Education Act should be implemented effectively and free and compulsory education for all should be there. The Government of India should be attentive while allocating funds to education. The state governments play the major role. For example, the government of Kerala allocates main funds to education than any other state, with the per capita expenditure of 11.5 rupees compared to Indian average of 7.8 rupees.

It is not only the expenditure of more funds, but where the funds are used also makes the difference. The state should spent more money on elementary mass education than colleges and universities. Kerala’s emphasis on primary education has led to dropout rate to 0%, a literacy rate of 94% for males and 86% for females and a low child work participation rate. Weiner points out that “the Kerala government has made no special effort to end child labour. It is expansion of school system rather than enforcement of labour legislation that has reduced the amount of child labour.

The example of Kerala asserts the fact that education is one of those instruments that illuminates the social fabric, combats child labour and speed up the process of modernization and development. Despite the fact that education plays a vital role in the prosperity of the nation so many education programmes which were adopted time to time such as Universal Elementary Education, Formal, Non-Formal and Compulsory Education, National Literacy Mission, District Primary Education Programme, child labour and dropout rates still remains a harsh reality. A faster pace of spread of education is possible only when all the rural habitants have access to well-knit institutional set up imparting education at least to primary level. Social mobilization, economic incentives, adequate infrastructure and resources are very important for government to implement the “Right to Education “Act. Thus child labour policies and education policies have to be formulated and be operated in tandem, and not independent of each other. In order to expedite their policies, a high expenditure, a great bureaucratic efficiency, sincerity and integrity on the part of the public servants are very important conditions.

Universal literacy and addressing child labour are the movements that should be taken on the war footing not only to make democracy a real success, but also to ensure all round of social progress and sustainable economic development in the country.

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Keystone XL Pipeline


5th Feb, Hindu editorials

Please find below key facts about the proposed “Keystone XL Pipeline”

  • 3050 Km long
  • Will transfer oil extracted from tar sands, in alberta(canada) to texas
  • Capacity: 5 lakh barrels a day
  • Positive: Less reliance of US on middle east
  • Negative: will pass through ogallala aquifer in nebraska state which provides drinking water and supports irrigation in over 7 states of US

Ipv6

5th Feb, Hindu Editorials

Please find below details about IPv6

  • Behind every web address lies a combination of numbers which give the website a unique address
  • This address is known as Ipv4
  • It has capacity to provide only 4.3 mn addresses and is expected to run out of addresses soon
  • The alternative is Ipv6 which can provide trillions of addresses
  • India is pursuing a national Ipv6 deployment program with 2012 deadline to upgrade networks of central and state governments and PSUs
  • China has already been promoting Ipv6 through its China next generation internet project since 2003
  • 8th June 2011 has been designated as world Ipv6 day. On this day, the Ipv6 networks in different parts of world will be test run to identify issues that need to be addressed

Laws need to be reviewed

This article reasons out why our laws need to be reviewed
  • British made laws to suppress natives
  • India inherited them
  • The leaders of national movement were mostly rich people who later became the ruling class of independent India
  • The leaders failed to realise the egalitarian society envisaged in our constitution
  • The 1991 liberalisation boosted India’s per capita income
  • Now there was a need to exploit its natural resources for it to become a global power
  • This lead to destruction of forests for mining
  • The ancestors of the land i.e. adivasis were made to pay for India’s development
  • Umpteen human right violation have been committed against adivasis in name of national security and development
  • This has provided base for naxalism
  • Our slow cumbersome judiciary has left many under trials languishing in jails for years together
  • India has not ratified the UN convention against torture . it has no laws to prevent its citizens from being tortured
  • But there are many laws providing immunity to security forces like

  • AFSPA-1958
  • UAPA-1967
  • Chattisgarh special police act 2006
  • Indian penal code provisions

WAY AHEAD

  • Justice is theory while law is practice
  • Law has failed to deliver justice
  • There is a need for thorough review of our laws in order to make them deliver justice to problems of 21st century

TURKEY vs EGYPT


7th Feb, Hindu editorials

This article presents a way forward for Egypt

  • Biggest challenge for middle east nations has been to effectively integrate
  • Islam
  • Democracy
  • Vibrant economy


TURKEY vs EGYPT

DEMOCRACY

  • When Mubarak took over rule in Egypt in 1981, turkey was under military rule
  • Today turkey is a democracy
  • The military general Kenan Evren in power at turkey framed a new constitution and stepped down from politics
  • The new constitution left scope for military interference in politics
  • It allowed for growth of political parties
  • On other hand Mubarak stuck to his post and ruled Egypt as dictator
  • The september 2010 referendum in turkey has further diluted military powers a an dis now all set to become a member of EU

ECONOMY

  • Turkey has an open economy with a dynamic private sector while Egypt has a closed state controlled economy
  • Turkey’s economy is 4 times that of Egypt though both nations have same size of population
  • Today Turkish PM Erdogan us one of the most influential middle east figure’s

MILITARY

  • Turkey’s military has always defended secularism
  • Egypt’s army is seen more as a protector of authoritarian status quo

WAY AHEAD

  • Egypt military should follow the turkey route
  • It should ensure only moderate elements of muslim brotherhood come to power and keep out militant elements

EXTRA INFO

Kemal Ataturk is founder of republic of turkey and 1st president of turkey

UN security council


In this multiple world order, United Nations (UN) has acquired much weight in answering outstanding issues related to development, trade, health, education, environment security etc at global level. It is being looked as the ‘World Government’ with the responsibility of maintains peace and order and stable management of global order. The UN is an international organization whose stated aims are facilitating cooperation in international law, international security, economic development, social progress, human rights, and achievement of world peace. The UN was founded in 1945 after World War II to replace the League of Nations, to stop wars between countries, and to provide a platform for dialogue. ‘Good governance’ has become a central organizing concept of all UN system activities and it has led to the establishment of goals, values and commitments for member states to improve the conditions of entire mankind. It has been described more specifically as ‘governmental international regime’. However, the multipolarization of world order has not influenced the shape of Security Council; it still remains an exclusive gang of five powers playing a predominant role in handling the global affairs.

There have been demands to reform it in order to make it function it more effective, democratic and transparent. The imbalance between the number of seats in the Security Council and the total number of member States became evident and the only significant reform of the Security Council came to pass in 1965 after the ratification of two thirds of the membership, including the five permanent members of the Security Council (that have a veto right on Charter changes). The reform included an increase of the non-permanent membership from six to 10 members. In 1979, too, some developing countries put forward the issue of reform on agenda of UN. In 1992, the reform discussions of the UN Security Council were launched again and “An Agenda for Peace” was published .The agenda was to restructure the composition and anachronistic procedures of the UN organ recognizing the changed world. However, the post–Cold War period has been marked by the Council’s disposition to tackle many more conflicts than it had been able to earlier, when it was frustrated by East-West hostilities and the plethora of vetoes (cast and threatened) by the permanent members. Thus, in 1993 the Open-Ended Working Group was constituted by UN to formally discuss about the reform issue and finally in 2003 by appointing a High Level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change. The Panel in its 2004 report released its report ‘a more Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility’. The two options mentioned by Kofi Annan (the then Secretary General) are referred to as Plan A and Plan B:

  • Plan A calls for creating six new permanent members, plus three new non-permanent members for a total of 24 seats in the council.
  • Plan B calls for creating eight new seats in a new class of members, who would serve for four years, subject to renewal, plus one non-permanent seat, also for a total of 24.

In context of these reforms, India has remained at the forefront of these debates demanding democratization of UN Security Council through its enlargement and redistribution of power. As the membership of Security Council signifies super power status India is desperate to get an entry into it. India stated its campaign for permanent membership of the Council in 1994 after the UN General Assembly passed a resolution in 1992. The most powerful countries viz.India, Germany Japan and Brazil, within their regional groups and key players within their regions saw themselves with a permanent seat. This group of four countries formed an interest group later known as the Group of Four (G4). The G4 countries are making United efforts to enter into the Council with veto powers proclaiming themselves ‘ self appointed promoters’ for Security Council reform. All G4 nations have GDP higher than that of the current permanent member of the Security Council with lowest GDP (Russia)

India is a dominant player and enjoys a vital position in G4. India has the world’s second largest population and is the world’s largest liberal democracy. It is also the world’s eleventh largest economy and fourth largest in terms of purchasing power parity. Currently, India maintains the world’s third largest active armed force and has nuclear weapons. India is the third largest contributor of troops to United Nations Peacekeeping missions and most importantly it has provided leadership to Third World Countries on diverse issues like trade imbalances and environmental degradation. It is worth to note that India is looked upon as best possible allay by US and Russia, and these relationships can counter the growing influence of China in world politics in terms of economic and military skills. Also, several countries and organizations such as Bangladesh, Chile, Australia, Czech Republic, and the African Union have openly supported India’s candidacy. Based on these credentials India has asserted its ‘natural ‘and ‘legitimate’ right over permanent membership of UNSC.

However, the dream of India to become a permanent member of UNSC depends much on the full support of P-5 countries (US, UK, France, Russia and China). In true sense, there is no unanimity among these P-5 members regarding India’s entry into the council. Britain and France are the only two countries who have openly voiced their support for India’s inclusion, though without the veto power. Russia is regarded as a close friend of India since last six decades so Moscow is least expected to obstruct India’s entry into the council even if it is not a loud supporter of its claims. On the other side, the US position in this context is ambiguous. However , a powerful section of US policymakers feel that India is the best choice considering the changing power equations in Asia and increasing power of China. In his recent visit to India in November 2010 , Barrack Obama responded very affirmatively saying “….And as two global leaders, the United States and India can partner for global security-especially as India serves on the Security Council over the next two years. Indeed, the just and sustainable international order that America seeks includes a United Nations that is efficient, effective, credible and legitimate. That is why I can say today-in the years ahead; I look forward to a reformed UN Security Council that includes India as a permanent member,”

All the permanent five members of Security Council must realize that the inclusion of India as a permanent member in Security Council would give the South Asia region a stabilizing force, helping peace efforts in Central Asia and all other parts of our increasingly connected world. Among these five countries the major obstruction is being provided by China.

China insists that the UN reform process should be slow, gradual and only through consensus and not through vote. China demands that any reform proposal to be adopted must garner support and endorsement from 90% of the member countries, which China perfectly knows are not possible under present circumstances. This stance of China reflects its apprehensions that the entry of countries like Japan and India into Security Council will greatly cripple its position as a sole Asian voice in the council. The China’s permanent membership in the Security Council is the only thing which differentiates China from India and Japan. A permanent membership of Security Council and declared nuclear status make it the most important player in the international sphere. Also, it is the sole Asian negotiating partner of United States on global security matters. China also fears that with Japan and India inside, Washington, when its interest was at stake could work around Russian and French resistance and outweigh China. China has also openly criticised and called for the withdrawal of reform proposal by Group of Four (consisting Japan, Germany, India and Brazil) after the African countries rejected it.

China as such is much worried about the Japan’s claim of permanent seat in Security Council. China in this fear has mentioned that Tokyo needs to win consensus in East Asia to its claims to permanent seat before it can aspire to a larger role at UN. This apprehension can be traced back to history when Japan invaded China and other Asian countries during Second World War. China is also fearful about the way Japan and US are strengthening their alliance which Beijing sees as being against it. Thus China’s opposition to other three can be regarded as symbolic. However, it is essential for her to do so to stop Tokyo in getting permanent seat. While China is firmly opposed to Japan’s candidature, it deliberately remains doubtful and marginal on India’s stand in order to prevent India-Japan coalition led by United States. China also fears that if it would openly oppose India’s entry in Security Council that would lead to greater collaboration among India, Japan and US affecting its own interest. This strategic consideration has also prompted China to adopt more suspicious position on India’s candidature helping it to balance its relation with old friend Pakistan. On the other hand India is believes that trough continuous dialogue and negotiations, it would convince China to change its stand and support India’s bid, keeping the economic necessities for better relation between the two countries. In 2010, S.M.Krishna (Indian Foreign Minister) and Indian President’s visits to China worked little. Though China voiced support for India’s bid for a non-permanent seat in 2011, it did not change its position regarding permanent seat. During the Indian President’s visit no statement had been made regarding the Security Council’s membership. The statement called on both the countries to work together “ to increase the representation of developing countries in international affairs “, but avoided any reference to Security Council which Indian Officials had sought in talks. Recently, Wen Jiabao visited India in December 2010, however, this time the statements from the Chinese Premier looked promising. The Chinese Premier in his meeting with India’s Prime Minister Dr.Manmohan Singh said “China attaches great importance to India’s status in international affairs as a large developing country, understands and supports India’s aspiration to play a greater role in the United Nations, including in the Security Council”.

India secured 187 of the 190 votes and got elected to a non-permanent seat of Security Council (elections held on 12th October 2010) for two-year term, which began on January this year. It can be called a major victory for India as it has occupied the UNSC after a gap of 18 years, which it last held 1982. India’s performance as a non-permanent member will be watched and as per its performance its race for a permanent seat will be decided in the coming days. Furthermore, what all reforms are to be concentrated upon by the non-permanent members are also going to be watched carefully? The recent directive of India’s Central Bank, Reserve Bank of India’s direction to Indian companies not to make payments to Iran for oil and gas through Asian Clearing Union is a step in the direction of India’s efforts for permanent membership in UNSC. Similarly the performances of the newly elected members are going to be under the scanner in the coming days.

A conducive atmosphere for the permanent membership of India in UNSC has reached as per the indications. Britain is already a supporter, its Prime Minister David Cameroon had already made it clear, France is all for permanent membership of India in UNSC, its President Nicholas Sarkozy has no objection, only happiness for India’s cause, even USA which was not that in favour of India becoming a permanent member of UNSC, during Obama’s visit to India, he too gave assurance of US’s support, even neighbouring country China which was once not that inclined to support India’s lobbying for a permanent seat Chinese Premier Wen Jia Bao during his visit to India last month did make it clear China’s push for permanent membership and judging by these facts this is the most opportune moment for India being blessed with the prestigious position.

Ahmadiyah in Indonesia

This article throws light on the growing intolerance in Indonesia
  • It has largest muslim population in world
  • 86% of 240 mn indonesians are muslims
  • Ahmadiyah are a muslim sect founded in Punjab in late 19th century
  • They consider themselves muslims but don’t accept the supremacy of prophet muhammad
  • They are considered muslims in india while in pakistan they are non-muslims
  • Indonesian government has prohibited the sect from spreading its belief
  • Indonesia needs to tackle the growing intolerance against ahmediyahs with determination

Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Prevention of torture bill

8th Feb, Hindu editorials

This article highlights the importance of Rajya sabha and also discusses the flaws in Prevention of torture bill

  • It was passed in Lok sabha
  • Rajya sabha referred it to a select committee headed by Ashwani Kumar


FLAW

  • It was intended to criminalise acts of torture by public servants but it ended up providing impunity to public servants who intentionally resort to torture
  • With a view to protect honest officers from malicious complaints, the bill stipulated that to prosecute a public servant on complaints of torture government sanction was mandatory
  • Similar provisions exist for Prevention of corruption act
  • Also CBI has to take prior sanction from government before it can even investigate
  • This power of sanction has for long been used by political parties to settle scores rather than ensure accountability

COMMITTEE RECOMMENDATIONS

  • It tried to strike a balance between need to protect honest officers and to hold public servants to account
  • It agreed with the need for prior sanction but has fixed a time limit of 3 months for government to decide on sanction failing which it will be deemed to have been sanctioned
  • If the government refuses to give sanction, it needs to provide the reason in writing
  • This removes the opaqueness in process
  • The aggrieved can appeal to high court against the government decision
  • This will force government to take decisions on judicial grounds
  • Earlier only judicial review could be undertaken

Difference between Judicial review and appeal

  • Judicial review only allows the court to look into technical aspects of decision making processes
  • Judicial appeal allows the court to examine issue based on merits and if required can also substitute government decision with court’s decision
  • Such a provision needs to be extended to even Prevention of corruption act

Other recommendations of committee(Not given in hindu)

  • The bill had provided that complain of torture should be given within 6 months of incident
  • Committee has recommended for a 2 year time
  • The bill states maximum punishment is 10 years imprisonment and a fine
  • Committee suggests a minimum of 3 year imprisonment and fine of 1 lakh rupees
  • The bill defines torture as grievous hurt or danger to life , limb and health of a person. The act of torture should have been committed intentionally and with a purpose of getting information or confession
  • Committee recommends for expansion of definition to align it with the definition in UN convention against torture
  • It calls for special consideration for cases of torture of women and child
  • Attempt to torture should also be made an offence